Politics, Etc. by John Nesler

Category: Polls (Page 2 of 2)

The Predictive Value of Polling Prior to the Presidential Primaries

Over the last few election cycles, polling companies have run polls years very, very early. Not just months, but years before the Democratic and Republican primaries. It’s pretty easy to look at this and wonder… why? After all, very early polls often cover people who never even end up running. What was the point of NPR running a head-to-head poll between Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey of all people, back in January 2018?

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